Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000961 0.000996 0.001032 0.001071 0.001112 0.001154 0.001201
2025-09-14 0.000889 0.000940 0.000993 0.001053 0.001119 0.001189 0.001271
2025-09-21 0.000832 0.000893 0.000959 0.001035 0.001121 0.001217 0.001331
2025-09-28 0.000791 0.000860 0.000936 0.001026 0.001131 0.001250 0.001398
2025-10-05 0.000742 0.000815 0.000895 0.000993 0.001109 0.001245 0.001417
2025-10-12 0.000714 0.000791 0.000878 0.000985 0.001115 0.001270 0.001472
2025-10-19 0.000694 0.000775 0.000868 0.000985 0.001130 0.001305 0.001541
2025-10-26 0.000671 0.000755 0.000853 0.000976 0.001132 0.001325 0.001590
2025-11-02 0.000656 0.000743 0.000846 0.000978 0.001146 0.001360 0.001661
2025-11-09 0.000638 0.000728 0.000833 0.000971 0.001150 0.001380 0.001711
2025-11-16 0.000620 0.000710 0.000818 0.000959 0.001146 0.001389 0.001746
2025-11-23 0.000614 0.000707 0.000820 0.000971 0.001172 0.001440 0.001844
2025-11-30 0.000603 0.000699 0.000816 0.000974 0.001188 0.001478 0.001926
2025-12-07 0.000588 0.000685 0.000804 0.000966 0.001187 0.001493 0.001975
2025-12-14 0.000573 0.000669 0.000789 0.000953 0.001181 0.001499 0.002010
2025-12-21 0.000561 0.000658 0.000779 0.000947 0.001183 0.001517 0.002063
2025-12-28 0.000540 0.000635 0.000754 0.000919 0.001152 0.001485 0.002036
2026-01-04 0.000529 0.000624 0.000744 0.000912 0.001152 0.001498 0.002082
2026-01-11 0.000522 0.000618 0.000740 0.000913 0.001161 0.001527 0.002155
2026-01-18 0.000511 0.000608 0.000730 0.000905 0.001159 0.001536 0.002197
2026-01-25 0.000505 0.000602 0.000727 0.000907 0.001169 0.001567 0.002277
2026-02-01 0.000496 0.000593 0.000719 0.000900 0.001169 0.001579 0.002326
2026-02-08 0.000486 0.000583 0.000708 0.000890 0.001161 0.001580 0.002353